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NDP heading back to the future

Premier Christy Clark is "re-structuring" her cabinet, but a more pressing challenge for her is finding enough credible candidates to carry her party's tarnished banner in the next election. And she's not the only leader facing this daunting task. B.

Premier Christy Clark is "re-structuring" her cabinet, but a more pressing challenge for her is finding enough credible candidates to carry her party's tarnished banner in the next election.

And she's not the only leader facing this daunting task. B.C. Conservative leader John Cummins must also find 83 people to run for his party (I'm presuming both him and MLA John van Dongen will be running next May).

Both parties must run careful background checks on prospective candidates to weed out potential embarrassments. If either party finds itself unable to woo enough people to run, I wonder whether those background checks will weaken and thus allow suspect candidates to garner a nomination.

It would seem Cummins and his party is particularly vulnerable to this scenario. The B.C. Liberals, for all their problems, still have a solid party infrastructure in place and the party is run by experienced hands who have been involved in three election victories.

The B.C. Conservatives, on the other hand, have yet to demonstrate they possess a disciplined, seasoned process to oversee its election campaign. Cummins once expressed concern to me on a Shaw Voice of B.C. program that he was worried his party would attract the wrong kind of candidate who could prove embarrassing.

As I wrote here previously, the B.C. Conservatives have to inoculate themselves from "bozo eruptions" from candidates in the middle of a campaign. They can derail any campaign momentum rather quickly.

Indeed, Cummins himself has just provided the exact kind of comment I'm talking about. In an interview with The Vancouver Sun's Jonathon Fowlie last week, Cummins compared himself to Jesus Christ no less.

In talking about facing a potential challenge to his leadership, Cummins said he could find only one party board member who wanted him gone.

Then, he added this gem of a quote: "I hate to use a biblical reference but Christ had 12 apostles, and one turned him in. We share the same initials but I can't rise from the dead and I can't get unanimity on the board. I wouldn't expect to be able to. He couldn't. I can't."

While Cummins is asking people to come on board a new venture, where the expectations might not be so high, Clark is trying to convince people to jump aboard a ship that is listing badly and seems likely to go under, or at least not right itself any time soon.

While her predecessor, Gordon Campbell, could woo "star" candidates such as Carole Taylor, Wally Oppal, Margaret McDermiad, Kash Heed, and Moira Stilwell with the offer of a cabinet post, Clark is not in a position to do that.

The best she can offer, right now at least, is the chance to be a portfolio critic sitting in the Official Opposition. That's not the most appealing offer to people who currently have good careers in the private sector.

The one leader sitting in the catbird seat is, of course, the NDP's Adrian Dix. He's only losing a handful of MLAs from his existing caucus (Clark, on the other hand, will lose about 20 sitting MLAs) and his party is well along in the nomination process.

The NDP has already landed a star candidate in long time labour leader Judy Darcy, who will run in New Westminster, and has more than a dozen new candidates as well.

The NDP finds itself in a situation similar to the one it faced in 1991, when it was also heavily favoured to form government.

It's yet another parallel to the pivotal 1991 election, which saw a long-time political dynasty almost disappear from sight.

The current premier has a lot of work ahead of her to prevent the same thing happening again next May.

Keith Baldrey is chief political reporter for Global BC.